Volatility Forecasting

Advanced volatility forecasting using GARCH, EGARCH, EWMA models with regime detection

Analysis Parameters

Configure your volatility analysis

Run a forecast to see results

About Volatility Forecasting

Models

  • GARCH(1,1): Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity - captures volatility clustering
  • EGARCH: Exponential GARCH - captures asymmetric volatility (leverage effect)
  • EWMA: Exponentially Weighted Moving Average - RiskMetrics approach
  • Historical: Simple historical volatility calculation

Use Cases

  • Risk management and position sizing
  • Option pricing and implied volatility analysis
  • Portfolio optimization and rebalancing
  • Market regime identification